Davis, Drusvyatskiy, and Jiang showed that gradient descent with an adaptive stepsize converges locally at a nearly-linear rate for smooth functions that grow at least quartically away from their minimizers. The argument is intricate, relying on monitoring the performance of the algorithm relative to a certain manifold of slow growth -- called the ravine. In this work, we provide a direct Lyapunov-based argument that bypasses these difficulties when the objective is in addition convex and a has a unique minimizer. As a byproduct of the argument, we obtain a more adaptive variant than the original algorithm with encouraging numerical performance.

Test-time adaptation (TTA) enables neural forecasters to adapt to distribution shifts in streaming time series, but existing methods apply the same adaptation intensity regardless of the nature of the shift. We propose Regime-Guided Test-Time Adaptation (RG-TTA), a meta-controller that continuously modulates adaptation intensity based on distributional similarity to previously-seen regimes. Using an ensemble of Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Wasserstein-1, feature-distance, and variance-ratio metrics, RG-TTA computes a similarity score for each incoming batch and uses it to (i) smoothly scale the learning rate -- more aggressive for novel distributions, conservative for familiar ones -- and (ii) control gradient effort via loss-driven early stopping rather than fixed budgets, allowing the system to allocate exactly the effort each batch requires. As a supplementary mechanism, RG-TTA gates checkpoint reuse from a regime memory, loading stored specialist models only when they demonstrably outperform the current model (loss improvement >= 30%). RG-TTA is model-agnostic and strategy-composable: it wraps any forecaster exposing train/predict/save/load interfaces and enhances any gradient-based TTA method. We demonstrate three compositions -- RG-TTA, RG-EWC, and RG-DynaTTA -- and evaluate 6 update policies (3 baselines + 3 regime-guided variants) across 4 compact architectures (GRU, iTransformer, PatchTST, DLinear), 14 datasets (6 real-world multivariate benchmarks + 8 synthetic regime scenarios), and 4 forecast horizons (96, 192, 336, 720) under a streaming evaluation protocol with 3 random seeds (672 experiments total). Regime-guided policies achieve the lowest MSE in 156 of 224 seed-averaged experiments (69.6%), with RG-EWC winning 30.4% and RG-TTA winning 29.0%. Overall, RG-TTA reduces MSE by 5.7% vs TTA while running 5.5% faster; RG-EWC reduces MSE by 14.1% vs standalone EWC.

The behavior emerges and becomes more robust as the architecture scales up its number of parameters.

Distributed training of Deep Learning models has been critical to many recent successes in the field. Current standard methods primarily rely on synchronous centralized algorithms which induce major communication bottlenecks and synchronization locks at scale.

Figure 1: Prediction risk of ridge regression on trained CK features (erf) after one feature learning step.

Weintroducethe"continuized"Nesterovacceleration,aclosevariantofNesterov acceleration whose variables are indexed by a continuous time parameter.

The key idea behind Bayesian meta-learning is empirical Bayes inference of hierarchical model.